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16.672397, "expectedMaf": 17.010303, "wetMaf": 17.444754 }, { "date": "2026-11-18", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 16.647332, "expectedMaf": 16.991737, "wetMaf": 17.434542 }, { "date": "2026-11-19", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 16.622268, "expectedMaf": 16.97317, "wetMaf": 17.424331 }, { "date": "2026-11-20", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 16.597203, "expectedMaf": 16.954604, "wetMaf": 17.41412 }, { "date": "2026-11-21", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 16.572139, "expectedMaf": 16.936038, "wetMaf": 17.403908 }, { "date": "2026-11-22", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 16.547074, "expectedMaf": 16.917472, "wetMaf": 17.393697 }, { "date": "2026-11-23", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 16.52201, "expectedMaf": 16.898905, "wetMaf": 17.383485 }, { "date": "2026-11-24", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 16.496945, "expectedMaf": 16.880339, "wetMaf": 17.373274 }, { "date": "2026-11-25", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 16.471881, "expectedMaf": 16.861773, "wetMaf": 17.363062 }, { "date": "2026-11-26", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 16.446817, "expectedMaf": 16.843207, "wetMaf": 17.352851 }, { "date": "2026-11-27", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 16.421752, "expectedMaf": 16.82464, "wetMaf": 17.342639 }, { "date": "2026-11-28", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 16.396688, "expectedMaf": 16.806074, "wetMaf": 17.332428 }, { "date": "2026-11-29", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 16.371623, "expectedMaf": 16.787508, "wetMaf": 17.322216 }, { "date": "2026-11-30", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 16.346559, "expectedMaf": 16.768941, "wetMaf": 17.312005 }, { "date": "2026-12-01", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 16.321494, "expectedMaf": 16.750375, "wetMaf": 17.301794 }, { "date": "2026-12-02", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 16.29643, "expectedMaf": 16.731809, "wetMaf": 17.291582 }, { "date": "2026-12-03", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 16.271365, "expectedMaf": 16.713243, "wetMaf": 17.281371 }, { "date": "2026-12-04", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 16.246301, "expectedMaf": 16.694676, "wetMaf": 17.271159 }, { "date": "2026-12-05", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 16.221236, "expectedMaf": 16.67611, "wetMaf": 17.260948 }, { "date": "2026-12-06", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 16.196172, "expectedMaf": 16.657544, "wetMaf": 17.250736 }, { "date": "2026-12-07", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 16.171107, "expectedMaf": 16.638977, "wetMaf": 17.240525 }, { "date": "2026-12-08", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 16.146043, "expectedMaf": 16.620411, "wetMaf": 17.230313 }, { "date": "2026-12-09", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 16.120978, "expectedMaf": 16.601845, "wetMaf": 17.220102 }, { "date": "2026-12-10", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 16.095914, "expectedMaf": 16.583279, "wetMaf": 17.209891 }, { "date": "2026-12-11", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 16.070849, "expectedMaf": 16.564712, "wetMaf": 17.199679 }, { "date": "2026-12-12", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 16.045785, "expectedMaf": 16.546146, "wetMaf": 17.189468 }, { "date": "2026-12-13", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 16.02072, "expectedMaf": 16.52758, "wetMaf": 17.179256 }, { "date": "2026-12-14", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 15.995656, "expectedMaf": 16.509014, "wetMaf": 17.169045 }, { "date": "2026-12-15", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 15.970591, "expectedMaf": 16.490447, "wetMaf": 17.158833 }, { "date": "2026-12-16", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 15.945527, "expectedMaf": 16.471881, "wetMaf": 17.148622 }, { "date": "2026-12-17", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 15.920463, "expectedMaf": 16.453315, "wetMaf": 17.13841 }, { "date": "2026-12-18", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 15.895398, "expectedMaf": 16.434748, "wetMaf": 17.128199 }, { "date": "2026-12-19", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 15.870334, "expectedMaf": 16.416182, "wetMaf": 17.117987 }, { "date": "2026-12-20", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 15.845269, "expectedMaf": 16.397616, "wetMaf": 17.107776 }, { "date": "2026-12-21", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 15.820205, "expectedMaf": 16.37905, "wetMaf": 17.097565 }, { "date": "2026-12-22", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 15.79514, "expectedMaf": 16.360483, "wetMaf": 17.087353 }, { "date": "2026-12-23", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 15.770076, "expectedMaf": 16.341917, "wetMaf": 17.077142 }, { "date": "2026-12-24", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 15.745011, "expectedMaf": 16.323351, "wetMaf": 17.06693 }, { "date": "2026-12-25", "actualMaf": null, "dryMaf": 15.719947, "expectedMaf": 16.304784, "wetMaf": 17.056719 } ], "assumptions": [ "Storage-based scenario estimate, not an official forecast.", "Uses recent 90-day storage trend from daily snapshot histories.", "Dry/wet scenarios adjust the recent trend; they do not model snowpack physics.", "System scenarios use only reservoirs in Reclamation's official system set.", "The system target includes all 10 reservoirs in Reclamation's published system set and uses the official 58.48 MAF capacity basis." ], "sources": [ { "label": "Daily reservoir storage snapshot", "note": "USBR RISE-derived storage histories generated by the daily data pipeline." }, { "label": "Operational context", "note": "Use Reclamation 24-Month Study and public operations releases for external planning context." } ] }